Friday 11 June 2010

New home

For anyone interested I've now re-generated over at http:/footygeek.wordpress.com. World Cup banter and tips all the way.

Sunday 28 March 2010

Todays matches I will try and trade.....

Today I'm following:-

English Premier LeagueFull Odds »
12:00:00 3.9 2.7 Burnley 3.6 3.4 Blackburn Rovers 2.75 2.14 103 odds Back AWAY 0.61 Lay HOME

Spanish Primera LigaFull Odds »
16:00:00 1.96 2.2 Deportivo La Coruna 3.7 3.3 Getafe 3.6 4.5 104 odds Back HOME 0.24 Lay AWAY
16:00:00 2.48 2.1 Osasuna 3.4 3.3 Almeria 3.75 3.35 105 odds Back AWAY 0.4 Lay HOME
20:00:00 1.46 1.33 Real Madrid 5.3 6 Atletico Madrid 10 8 102 odds Back AWAY 2 Lay HOME
16:00:00 2.2 2.5 Xerez 3.65 3.25 Real Valladolid 2.88 3.7 105 odds Back HOME 0.3 Lay AWAY
Italian Serie AFull Odds » 0
19:45:00 1.41 1.75 AC Milan 4.3 3.75 Lazio 5.5 16.5 102 odds Back HOME 0.34 Lay AWAY

German BundesligaFull Odds »
16:30:00 3.3 3.2 Borussia Monch'bach 3.65 3.3 SV Hamburg 2.4 2.36 103 odds Back AWAY 0.04 Lay HOME

French Ligue 1Full Odds »
16:00:00 3.65 3 Le Mans 3.25 3.25 Rennes 2.5 2.38 104 odds Back AWAY 0.12 Lay HOME
16:00:00 1.92 2.05 Lorient 3.4 3.25 Saint-Etienne 4.33 5.4 103 odds Back HOME 0.13 Lay AWAY
16:00:00 2.18 2.38 Nancy 3.25 3.25 Lens 3.4 4.3 102 odds Back HOME 0.2 Lay AWAY

Dutch EredivisieFull Odds »
13:30:00 1.25 1.29 FC Utrecht 7.2 5.35 RKC Waalwijk 13 16 104 odds Back HOME 0.04 Lay AWAY
11:30:00 4 3.5 NEC Nijmegen 3.8 3.5 Feyenoord 2.2 2.06 103 odds Back AWAY 0.14 Lay HOME
13:30:00 9 7 VVV Venlo 5.2 4 PSV Eindhoven 1.55 1.43 104 odds Back AWAY 0.12 Lay HOME

Portuguese LigaFull Odds »
20:15:00 12.5 9 Belenenses 4.9 4.5 FC Porto 1.44 1.39 103 odds Back AWAY 0.05 Lay HOME
16:00:00 2.76 2.4 Leixoes 3.15 3.1 Naval Primeiro Maio 3.4 3.15 103 odds Back AWAY 0.25 Lay HOME
16:00:00 2.06 2.1 Rio Ave 3.35 3.2 Olhanense 3.75 4.6 106 odds Back HOME 0.04 Lay AWAY
16:00:00 3 2.75 Vitoria Setubal 3.4 3.1 Nacional Madeira 2.75 2.7 105 odds Back AWAY 0.05 Lay HOME
Greek Super LeagueFull Odds »
17:00:00 1.4 1.45 AEK Athens 4.9 4.5 Panionios 8 12 104 odds Back HOME 0.05 Lay AWAY
17:00:00 1.47 1.57 Aris Salonika 4.5 3.75 Levadiakos 7 10 105 odds Back HOME 0.1 Lay AWAY
17:00:00 1.72 2.2 Iraklis Salonika 3.9 3.25 Giannina 3.7 6 103 odds Back HOME 0.48 Lay AWAY
17:00:00 1.81 2.88 Kavala 3.6 3.3 Ergotelis 3 5.9 98 odds Back HOME 1.07 Lay AWAY
17:00:00 3.95 3.15 Larissa 3.2 3.05 PAOK Salonika 2.6 2.3 103 odds Back AWAY 0.3 Lay HOME
17:00:00 1.19 1.25 Olympiakos 7.4 6 Xanthi 12 40 105 odds Back HOME 0.06 Lay AWAY

Turkish Super LigFull Odds »
17:00:00 2.06 2.2 Galatasaray 3.8 3.25 Fenerbahce 3.4 3.95 106 odds Back HOME 0.14 Lay AWAY

Monday 22 March 2010

Read all about it!

Another rare update from the fg and it's not a data dump!!
Sorry for those regulars who pop by to see if anything going on. I have just too much to do to dedicate time to a blog entry at present.
However I would like to change this and toying with creating my own website and footy portal to try and give up the day job and give more time to things I love such as my family and footy.

I however feel the need to share some of my experiences from the last month, and how I have moved on from the all-in strategy of 1.5 goals bets to what seems to be one of my better trading runs for a long time. I do seem to have been saying this before many times but this time I feel confident whenever I enter a match, and able to handle most situations now (finally!).

Now I'm not making big bucks at the minute but from the 50 quid I deposited last pay day, I have managed to win some and then lose some but currently standing at £40 profit. Again not a lot compare to others and certainly not enough to give up the day job or pay off some debts, but it has helped me learn something I should have seen years ago.

The key to my success has been knowing what position in the match I want to take by checking the prices on Statto.com. With my failure to conjure up my own stats, I have turned to this wonderfully simple site, which shows the odds on offer and their calculated versions based on their ratings.
Time after time they have come good, and I am now pretty religiously following these prices daily and getting trades right.

However, thinks didn't start very well this month, as I went all in with my initial £30 bank on what looked like a very secure bet on Chelsea to beat Man City. I placed this and went out with the missus on a shopping trip, and enjoyed the opening goal on the radio going to a dominant Chelsea.
Just parking up, thinking I’ll take my stake out the bet for a risk free profit on Chelsea, when Man City somehow equalised. I monitored in despair as the goals flew in and not for the home side.
I felt there and then like quitting this whole betting malarkey as bad decision after bad decision seems to plague me.

When I got home, I decided another 20 quid was all I could go with now and layed Arsenal against Stoke, hoping for green by half time at the latest. No need though, as Stoke opened the scoring early on, and once greened up , I moved a bit about with reasonable success to recover half my early loss.
This was to be a repeated pattern throughout the month, but slowly but surely things have gone well.
Backing the right prices and laying the wrong ones, I have discovered a few new techniques which now seem simple and low risk, all good.

A favourite at the minute is laying teams going 2-0 up early doors, as you normally see goals come back at least once if not twice and the odds of 1.0x odd means a good swing if this occurs.
Villa at half time in the FA Cup was a great move, though I did seem to give green away with each goal, need to let some trades run for better results.

I now can cover several markets at once in games to try for the big win, while covering the small losses if not.

This will probably cue a disaster and bank meltdown but I feel confident to avoid this, and if can keep going, could well have a very profitable summer and World Cup.

Currently trying to research World Cup trends and teams, hopefully with a few good patterns to follow.

As always, enjoy your footy and stay lucky.

Sunday 28 February 2010

Well for anyone interested, here is todays spreadsheet selections, I might do a proper post one day!!

Sunday 28th February 2010
English Premier LeagueFull Odds »
15:00:00 1.45 1.4 Liverpool 4.8 4.75 Blackburn Rovers 9.6 9.8 103 odds No bet
15:00:00 3.2 2.2 Sunderland 3.4 3.3 Fulham 3.75 2.52 102 odds Back AWAY
13:00:00 2.44 2.1 Tottenham Hotspur 3.5 3.4 Everton 4 3.3 102 odds Back AWAY
English League Cup FinalFull Odds »
15:00:00 - 4.5 Aston Villa - 3.6 Manchester United 1.91 - 102 odds No bet
Scottish Premier LeagueFull Odds »
12:30:00 1.84 2.4 Rangers 4.1 3.3 Celtic 3.25 4.7 103 odds Back HOME
Spanish Primera LigaFull Odds »
20:00:00 2.64 2.6 Atletico Madrid 3.6 3.3 Valencia 2.88 2.92 103 odds No bet
16:00:00 2.14 2.15 Racing Santander 3.65 3.3 Almeria 3.6 3.9 105 odds Back HOME
16:00:00 3.1 2.5 Real Valladolid 3.5 3.25 Mallorca 3 2.54 104 odds Back AWAY
18:00:00 1.71 1.67 Seville 4.1 3.8 Athletic Bilbao 5.5 5.8 104 odds No bet
16:00:00 2.44 2.38 Sporting Gijon 3.4 3.3 Osasuna 3.2 3.35 104 odds No bet
16:00:00 2.16 1.95 Villarreal 3.6 3.4 Deportivo La Coruna 4 3.85 106 odds Back AWAY
16:00:00 2.94 3.2 Xerez 3.35 3.25 Espanyol 2.4 2.76 104 odds Back HOME
Italian Serie AFull Odds »
14:00:00 1.3 1.36 AC Milan 5.5 5 Atalanta 11 21 103 odds Back HOME
14:00:00 2.8 2.38 Chievo 2.94 3.25 Cagliari 3.5 3.3 101 odds Back AWAY
14:00:00 1.68 1.67 Genoa 3.7 3.75 Bologna 6.5 7.4 102 odds Back DRAW
19:45:00 1.99 1.73 Juventus 3.3 3.6 Palermo 5.5 5.1 104 odds Back AWAY
14:00:00 2.06 2.25 Livorno 3.1 3.25 Siena 3.75 5.2 102 odds Back HOME
14:00:00 3.75 2.5 Napoli 3 3.25 Roma 3.2 2.5 102 odds Back AWAY
14:00:00 3.25 2.25 Parma 2.94 3.2 Sampdoria 3.75 2.86 102 odds Back AWAY
14:00:00 6.4 3.75 Udinese 3.55 3.25 Inter Milan 2.1 1.78 105 odds Back AWAY
German BundesligaFull Odds »
16:30:00 1.65 1.5 Bayern Munich 4.4 4.33 SV Hamburg 8 6 102 odds Back AWAY
14:30:00 3.5 4 Hannover 96 3.9 3.6 VfL Wolfsburg 1.91 2.18 105 odds Back HOME
French Ligue 1Full Odds »
16:00:00 5.3 4.8 Le Mans 3.55 3.4 Bordeaux 1.83 1.89 105 odds No bet
16:00:00 1.89 1.65 Lille 3.5 3.6 Auxerre 6 5.4 105 odds Back AWAY
20:00:00 3.15 2.88 Paris Saint-Germain 3.25 3.1 Marseille 2.75 2.68 103 odds Back AWAY
Dutch EredivisieFull Odds »
11:30:00 1.4 1.3 Ajax 5.5 5.5 FC Utrecht 13 9.8 103 odds Back AWAY
13:30:00 2.44 2.6 FC Groningen 3.5 3.4 Feyenoord 2.78 3.3 104 odds Back HOME
13:30:00 1.26 1.4 FC Twente Enschede 7.2 4.5 NEC Nijmegen 10 15.5 104 odds Back HOME
13:30:00 1.09 1.14 PSV Eindhoven 17 8.5 RKC Waalwijk 26 44 103 odds Back HOME
13:30:00 2.86 2.63 Sparta Rotterdam 3.5 3.4 NAC Breda 2.75 2.76 104 odds No bet
Belgian Jupiler LeagueFull Odds »
19:30:00 3.85 3 Charleroi 3.6 3.3 Zulte-Waregem 2.4 2.16 105 odds Back AWAY
19:30:00 12 8.5 Roeselare 6 4.5 Anderlecht 1.4 1.33 105 odds Back AWAY
17:00:00 3.25 3.75 St Truiden 3.55 3.4 Club Brugge 2.05 2.46 105 odds Back HOME
Portuguese LigaFull Odds »
16:00:00 1.97 2.15 Academica Coimbra 3.5 3.1 Rio Ave 3.75 4.9 105 odds Back HOME
16:00:00 1.65 1.91 Pacos Ferreira 3.9 3.4 Vitoria Setubal 5 7.2 102 odds Back HOME
20:15:00 3.4 3.6 Sporting Lisbon 3.25 3.2 FC Porto 2.25 2.5 103 odds Back HOME
Greek Super LeagueFull Odds »
14:45:00 1.79 1.57 Aris Salonika 3.65 3.5 Larissa 7 6 107 odds Back AWAY
14:45:00 1.96 2.4 Levadiakos 3.55 3.1 Giannina 3.55 4.8 102 odds Back HOME
14:45:00 1.25 1.25 Olympiakos 6.2 5.5 Atromitos Athens 13 26 106 odds No bet
17:00:00 6 7.25 Panionios 3.7 3.8 Panathinaikos 1.57 1.78 104 odds Back HOME
12:30:00 3.7 4.4 Panthrakikos 3.25 3.2 Kavala 2 2.38 104 odds Back HOME
Turkish Super LigFull Odds »
17:00:00 1.4 1.29 Galatasaray 5.7 5.5 Kasimpasa 11 9.2 105 odds Back AWAY
12:00:00 2.22 2.3 Gaziantepspor 3.65 3.25 Eskisehirspor 3.3 3.65 105 odds Back HOME
12:00:00 2.02 2.25 Genclerbirligi 3.8 3.25 Ankaragucu 3.5 4.2 104 odds Back HOME
13:00:00 3.6 4.5 Istanbul Buyuksehir 3.7 3.5 Fenerbahce 1.85 2.22 105 odds Back HOME
12:00:00 2.2 2.1 Manisaspor 3.55 3.2 Diyarbakirspor 3.8 3.8 105 odds No bet
Austrian BundesligaFull Odds »
14:30:00 2.12 2.38 Rapid Vienna 3.9 3.4 Salzburg 3.1 3.65 104 odds Back HOME
Swiss Super LeagueFull Odds »
15:00:00 3.65 3.25 Aarau 3.55 3.4 Lucerne 2.25 2.26 105 odds No bet
15:00:00 5.5 7.5 Bellinzona 4.4 4.5 Basle 1.5 1.69 102 odds Back HOME
15:00:00 2.1 2.15 Neuchatel Xamax 3.6 3.4 St Gallen 3.5 4.1 104 odds Back HOME

Tuesday 23 February 2010

Statto's selections spreadsheet 23/2/10

Extract from my new value spreadsheet on tonights games:-

Match Odds










KO
Home Team & Best Odds
Draw Away Team & Best Odds
% odds
Tuesday 23rd February 2010
English Premier LeagueFull Odds »
20:00:00 1.29 1.22 Manchester United 6.4 6.5 West Ham United 17 14.5 103 odds Back AWAY
English League ChampionshipFull Odds »
19:45:00 2.54 2.63 Doncaster Rovers 3.35 3.3 Leicester City 2.9 3.25 103 odds Back HOME
19:45:00 2.74 2.75 Scunthorpe United 3.45 3.3 Ipswich Town 2.7 2.9 104 odds Back HOME
English League OneFull Odds »
19:45:00 1.7 1.67 Charlton Athletic 4.2 3.75 Brighton and Hove A 6 5.8 103 odds Back AWAY
19:45:00 1.78 1.73 Colchester United 3.85 3.75 Brentford 5.5 5.6 103 odds No bet
19:45:00 2.64 2.5 Exeter City 3.45 3.4 Bristol Rovers 2.88 3 104 odds No bet
19:45:00 2.66 2.15 Gillingham 3.4 3.4 Leyton Orient 3.5 3 104 odds Back AWAY
19:45:00 2.62 2.5 Hartlepool United 3.5 3.4 Carlisle United 2.88 3 104 odds No bet
19:45:00 1.66 1.5 Leeds United 4.1 4.2 Oldham Athletic 7.5 6.6 104 odds Back AWAY
19:45:00 2.56 2.5 Milton Keynes Dons 3.45 3.4 Millwall 3.1 3.1 102 odds No bet
19:45:00 1.56 1.44 Norwich City 4.6 4.5 Southend United 8 7 104 odds Back AWAY
19:45:00 1.49 1.44 Swindon Town 4.9 4.5 Stockport County 8 8 104 odds No bet
19:45:00 3 3.2 Tranmere Rovers 3.45 3.4 Huddersfield Town 2.3 2.64 104 odds Back HOME
19:45:00 1.92 2 Walsall 3.75 3.4 Yeovil Town 4 4.7 104 odds Back HOME
19:45:00 4 4.2 Wycombe Wanderers 3.75 3.4 Southampton 1.91 2.06 106 odds Back HOME
English League TwoFull Odds »
19:45:00 2.14 2.1 Accrington Stanley 3.8 3.4 Burton Albion 3.75 3.75 104 odds No bet
19:45:00 2.18 2.1 Aldershot Town 3.65 3.4 Dagenham and Redb'ge 3.75 3.75 104 odds No bet
19:45:00 1.8 1.7 Bournemouth 3.8 3.75 Barnet 5.5 5.5 104 odds No bet
19:45:00 1.82 1.75 Bury 4 3.6 Morecambe 5 4.9 105 odds Back AWAY
19:45:00 2.02 2.4 Cheltenham Town 3.7 3.4 Torquay United 3.1 4.3 103 odds Back HOME
19:45:00 2.5 2.6 Crewe Alexandra 3.6 3.4 Chesterfield 2.88 3.15 103 odds Back HOME
19:45:00 3.25 5 Darlington 3.55 3.6 Notts County 1.8 2.46 103 odds Back HOME
19:45:00 2.58 2.25 Grimsby Town 3.35 3.4 Macclesfield Town 3.3 3.2 104 odds Back AWAY
19:45:00 2.72 2.6 Hereford United 3.45 3.4 Northampton Town 2.75 2.96 104 odds No bet
19:45:00 2.1 2 Port Vale 3.5 3.4 Lincoln City 4 4.2 104 odds No bet
19:45:00 1.65 1.53 Rochdale 4.3 4.33 Bradford City 7 6.2 103 odds Back AWAY

UEFA Champions League Second Round 1st LegFull Odds »
19:45:00 3.85 3 Olympiakos 3.25 3.3 Bordeaux 2.5 2.32 104 odds
19:45:00 5 6 VfB Stuttgart 4.1 3.75 Barcelona 1.67 1.8 103 odds
UEFA Europa League Second Round 2nd LegFull Odds »
17:00:00 1.42 1.36 Benfica 5.3 5 Hertha BSC Berlin 9 9.6 105 odds

Wednesday 27 January 2010

Value for 27/1/2010

Only 5 winners from list yesterday, but I am just paper trading at the minute.
Tonight's picks are:-

Back Aston Villa v Arsenal - 3.5 should be 3.35
Back Wigan @ Blackburn - 4.33 should be 3.95
Back Draw in Chelsea v Birmingham - 6.0 should be 5.5
Back Everton v Sunderland - 1.62 should be 1.53

Back Crystal Palace @ Newcastle - 6.5 should be 5.7 (plus draw @ 4.0 instead of 3.7)
Back Scunthorpe v Sheff Wed - 2.63 should be 2.48

Back Draw in Burton v Lincoln - 3.5 should be 3.45

Back Man U v Man City - 1.62 should be 1.45

Back Hibs @ Celtic - 9 (should be 6.4) plus draw @ 4.5 should be 4.4
Back Dundee Utd v St Johnson - 1.67 should be 1.47
Back Motherwell @ Falkirk - 2.63 should be 2.42
Back Hearts v Aberdeen - 2.2 should 2.18
Back Rangers @ St Mirren - 1.44 should be 1.35

Tuesday 26 January 2010

A bit of value

Below is some tips picked as value for tonight. Selection first then who against and where playing then odds.

Burnley v Bolton A 5.00
West Ham v Porstmouth A 3.00
Fulham v Spurs A 6.50
Liverpool v Wolves A 1.73
Barnsley v Leicester H 2.63
Bristol City v Cardiff H 2.50
Doncaster v Middlesboro H 2.40
Ipswich v West Brom H 3.10
Sheff Utd v Reading H 1.91
QPR v Nottm Forest A 5.50
Preston v Peterboro A 2.80
Carlisle v Exeter A 3.40
Gillingham v Hartlepool A 4.00
Southend v Millwall A 5.50
Stockport v Brighton H 3.40
Swindon v Leeds H 3.25
Walsall v Norwich H 4.33
Barnet v Torquay H 2.50
Dag & Red v Notts Co H 2.63
Darlington v Northampton H 4.50
Port Vale v Rochdale A 7.00